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Crypto Trading

Posted on:September 23, 2022 at 03:22 PM

HODLing When to exit

Margin trading in Binance

The fund in your margin wallet is called margin. It acts as a collateral. There are two types of margin trading in Binance. In first your margin is in USD and in other your margin is in coin/BNB.

Leverage = (Borrowed fund) % margin fund.

What is 3x, 5x or 10x in Binance

In Binance Cross and Isolated margin have different wallets.

Normal, Borrow and Repay radio buttons in Binance

Total balance, Total debt and Equity

In margin trading(usdt margin)we can borrow a coin against our usdt margin and later sell/short it.

USDT margin

Future trading in Binance

Market orders are used only if gettng out is priority as they have slippages in volatile market.

Future is a derivative.

Derivatives: Financial assets whose value is derived from other assets or group of assets for eg bitcoin. Future is a contract between buyer and seller and delivery is in future. In perpetual future contract there is no expiry.

Funding rate : it is positive in a bullish market and negative in bearish market. When positive buyers have to pay the funding rate. Calculated as difference between contract price and index price multiplied by funding rate.

Unrealised PNL calculated based on the mark price.

Types of future trading in Binance

Maintenance margin: minimum value of margin balance required to keep your positions open.

Margin balance: futures account balance + unrealised pnl from open positions. When margin balance falls below maintenance margin your position is liquidated.

Margin ratio/risk: maintenance margin divided by margin balance. When it reaches 100 your ALL your positions are liquidated. Liquidation has additional fees so avoid it!!

Position mode in future trading

Reduce only option: This order will be executed only if it reduces the current position in one way mode.

Limit order: used for take profit.

Stop limit: used for stop loss.

Above is better and have much control.

Trigger in orders: last price, mark price.

TIF: Time in force,

GTC: Good till cancelled.Remains till fulfilled or cancelled.

IOC: Immediate or cancel. Part order may get filled and other part will be cancelled.

FOK: Fill or kill. If entire order is not executed immediately then it will be cancelled.

Post only: same as limit order but it will not get executed against existing order. It will be first added to the order book first then will be executed. It saves fees as maker fees is applied.

Trailing stop: Lock in profits and limit the losses. Stop loss moves with the price. It is not recommended as stop loss should be set according to support and resistance (price action).

Binance hedge mode

Contract: for eg. BTCUSD perpetual

To reduce the risk and protect your profits.

Two short/long term positions

Making short term gains.

One long term and one short term position.

Hedging: holding long and short position for the same contract.

In one way mode opening an opposite position will reduce an existing position and opening a same position will increase existing position.

You can protect large investment from downside move by have a short futures contract.

In hedge mode there is an option to close an open long/short position.

Trailing stop

Used in futures to lock-in profits and limit your losses.

First set a long position. Then set a trailing stop order in opposite side(short). The activation price should be the price from which you want to lock profits. When the price is hit the trailing stop order is activated which will execute when the trailing stop is hit which is in percentage of the price.

Use case of trailing stop. To set the exit point from a futures contract. Ensuring profits.

Use case 2: when price is rising/falling sharply you buy/sell it immediately. And place a trailing stop order. At a point till which the price will move without moving in opposite direction.

Reduce only option

Stop market order

Above is better and have much control.

Trigger option in orders

Options in orders

Binance hedge mode

Contract: for eg. BTCUSD perpetual

To reduce the risk and protect your profits.

Two short/long term positions

Making short term gains.

One long term and one short term.

Hedging: holding long and short position for the same contract.

In one way mode opening an opposite position will reduce an existing position and opening a same position will increase existing position.

You can protect large investment from downside move by have a short futures contract.

In hedge mode there is an option to close a open long/short position.

Trailing stop

Binance Mobile app

indicators

MA:

Used to:

MACD: Trend following and momentum of trend.

It is used in trading trends and not useful in trading ranges.

Margin trading Vs Future trading in Binance

Main difference is in the assets being traded in futures we trade contract.

Margin orders are spot orders so you have to borrow and pay interest.

In margin trading leverage is smaller.

In margin trading the trading fees is less as you have to also pay for interest.

In future trading the trading fees is higher and for perpetual contract you have to pay funding rate. Funding rate ensures convergence of price between perpetual futures market and underlying asset.

In perpetual future the contract price is based on index price, which is based on average price in various markets and volume.

Prepare a plan to trade in common scenarios and what indicators are required in each one of them

Important points to remember

Trading workflow

  1. Entry Triggers as per your trading technique
  2. Established invalidation levels (Stop loss)
  3. Defined reversals (Profit taking)

Tech analysis

Candle stick charts

Uses of candle stick pattern

Bullish candle stick pattern

Bearish candle stick pattern

Candle stick can tell more than price action, they can tell whether traders are buying the dip or taking profits.

Close above or below candle.

Trading volume should be taken into consideration in candle chart analysis.

Low volume in a coin indicates future volatility, ie price moving up or down.

A coin should have good volume in shorter time frames. Trade in such coins.

If volume is decreasing with price drop that means bulls are holding and once price drops to desired level, volatility kicks in and the price could rise. Also, If volume is decreasing with price rise that means bears are holding and once price rise to desired level, volatility kicks in and the price could drop.

Draw lines to find support, resistance and price patterns.

Price patterns:

Symmetrical/Ascending/Descending triangle. The price change at convergence can be calculated by height of triangle at left side.

Technical indicators

Technical indicators change as per the time frame, keep this in mind!!

Moving averages/MA/EMA

As it is a lagging indicator, it won’t warn in advance but can confirm a trend change.

Double exponential moving averages: they follow price more closely and have less lag.

MA ribbon: when it contracts it may indicate trend change. When they

MA envelopes: used for overbought or oversold scenario in sideways market movement.

It’s a lagging indicator so it will give the signal a bit late. So generally aggressive traders don’t use it for signal.

Short term: 5-20, 10 most popular.

Mid term: 20-60, 50 most common.

Long term trade and investment: 100 and more, 200 most common to identify bullish or bearish trend.

Popular MA: 10,20,50,100,200.

Traders use more than 1 MA, 50 and 200 is very popular among mid term traders. 200 gives them indication to move with the trend.

MA duration commonly used:

SMA Vs EMA

EMA put more weightage to recent price and react faster to price changes. 200 day EMA is used most often. If current price is below EMA line then it acts as resistance. If current price is above EMA line then it acts as support.

MA, MACD, RSI Bollinger bands gives perspective on volatility identify price bubble or buying opportunity, also possible crash and moonshot.

Check the timeframe you are working with. Also different coin needs different trading strategy. Also do fundamental analysis.

Bull flag and bear flag

Idea behind bull/bear flag is that a strong medium term trend will eventually override weak short term trend. The strength of this indicator depends on (low) volume during short term trend. Breakout is detected by a candle breaking the pattern/range at the end of flag.

Wedges forms when two trendlines converge. Breakout is detected by a candle breaking the pattern/range at the convergence point. The idea behind it is that price has become too bullish/bearish and needs a correction in the larger time frame.

Rise and fall after wedge convergence depends upon “height” of wedge at left.

All the three patterns below needs support and resistance levels. Which can be confirmed from moving averages.

Support and resistance levels are previous highs and psychologically comfortable positions for eg. 20k bitcoin price.

  1. Waiting for a retest
  2. High Volume break-out
  3. High momentum Break-out: Previous support broken.

Trading time frames:

Longer the Time frame the stronger is the trend.

Trend

Trend is your friend.

Rules to Identify down/uptrend.

Trend loses momentum over time and mkt moves sideways.

Uptrend: Each subsequent high/low is higher than previous.

Downtrend: Each subsequent high/low is lower than previous.

Don’t trade against the trend. Take buy trades for uptrend and sell trades for downtrend.

Support and resistance in uptrend and downtrend.

Entry/Exit in uptrend and downtrend.

Indicators

ATR indicator : Average true range. Identifies volatility of the pair and time frame. Used to decide stop losses, otherwise you may get wicked out. Add 2 times the ATR to the stop loss target. Also maintain healthy RR ratio.

MA:

RSI indicator:

breakout pattern

Sentiment analysis

Emperor tutorial

Example trades

Trade 1 (long entry)

  1. Look for candles with a long tail.
  2. It should have bounced off of a previous resistance now turned support.
  3. Wait for the price to break a resistance above.

Trade 2 (short entry)

  1. Look for candle with long overhead wick.
  2. Wait for previous support to be broken.

Trade 3 (short entry)

  1. Long overhead wick candles generally denote supply.
  2. Wait for them to close at same level.
  3. Find new support.
  4. Wait for it to break.
  5. Wait for support to turn into resistance.
  6. Enter short trade upon confirmation.

What is retest

Breakout

A Breakout occurs when the resistance line is tested several times, leading to an increased demand in that price zone. This increase of demand leads to a breakout.

Breakdon

It is when the support zone is tested too many times, leading to an increase is supply at that price point, which leads to lowering of price i.e. Breakdown.

Support and resistance

Resistance lines, when crossed, become new support, and the cycle repeats until the trend breaks(breakdown).

Trading using SR

Following things need to be considered when trading using SR

  1. Breakouts, Break-down
  2. Fake Breakdown/Breakout (Used by institutional traders against retail traders)
  3. Re-tests
  4. Confirmations
  5. Stop-loss hunting (Used by institutional traders against retail traders)

Stop loss hunting

Solutions to stop loss hunting

  1. Place the SL BELOW the invalidation point to avoid SL hunting by wicks.
  2. Exit the trade on invalidation with using SL manually AFTER the invalidation is confirmed to avoid stop loss hunting.

Fake Breakdown/Breakout

Three components of a trade

  1. Entry trigger: Reasons for entering a trade. There could be multiple reasons or a single reason for entry. Generally, a set of reasons AKA confluence is a higher probability trade and a generally a safer entry.
  2. Stop loss: Stop loss is set at Invalidation level. Entry is made ONLY as per TA on a valid reason for a directional move. Once the reason for the entry has been lost, the trade must be exited.
  3. Target: It is the possible price level that the asset might touch based on previous trends or confluence AND where a possible reversal could occur.

Volume

Moving average of volume: Default is 20 but 14 can also be used.

Why high volume is important

Price action should be considered along with volume

Bullish Divergence (RSI covered here)

Bullish divergence

When Price makes a higher high, the momentum oscillator too should make a higher high. This is called convergence.

In a rare occurrence, the momentum oscillator and the price don’t follow a similar path. This phenomenon is called Divergence.

Divergences are used to find a potential reversal on the larger time frame or a swing/scalp opportunity on the lower time frame. A minimum of 4-hour time frame is preferred. Since they may fail (very rarely) it is better to accompany the entry with further confirmations.

-Don’t look for divergences in a non-trending market. There must be clear uptrend or downtrend.

Bearish divergence

Characeteristics

Bearish divergence

Types of divergences

Open interest

It is the best tool to judge

  1. LONG BUILD-UP: Price goes up OI goes up. Here the market participants are entering into new contracts and the long sentiment is stronger, pushing the prices higher.

  2. LONG COVERING (UNWINDING): In this scenario the OI and the price both decrease. This happens because Long previously entered are taking profits i.e. Contracts are being closed, reducing the OI. This mostly occurs after the price has seen a substantial rise (See the chart above) and is looking for a retracement or a Reversal.

  3. SHORT BUILD-UP: In this scenario the price goes down with the OI increasing. The sentiment to open up a short trade is stronger.

  4. SHORT COVERING (UNWINDING): Here the price increases with the OI decreasing. This means that the people who had entered into a short position are closing their entries. This generally occurs after the price has made a substantial correction.

Open interest is the most important day trading tool. Many traders don’t understand it enough.

EMA startegy of trading

  1. Bullish crossover on the daily chart for 13 and 21 EMA.
  2. 200 EMA on the 4 hourly chart acting as support.
  3. All breakouts confirmed by volume. (13,21 EMA sloping upwards)
  4. The 13 EMA should be over the 21 EMA after a contraction.
  5. Both EMAs should be upward sloping.
  6. The price should be above the EMAs.

Simple trading strategy

  1. Open 4 hourly chart.
  2. Add 200EMA
  3. Use 200 EMA as the point of interest for entry/Exit.

Reversals

  1. Prices don’t reverse at once.
  2. There is a transition period when the prices move in a horizontal manner.
  3. This horizontal movement is called consolidation.

Reversal at top

  1. Lower high being formed.
  2. Continuous test of support (weakening)
  3. Support breach with volume (used for confirmation)

Reversal top

Support and resistance (SR)

Trading pullbacks

Pullback is temporary drop in price.Pullback must be fast or very few sessions otherwise it may signal a trend change. So don’t trade pullback early. Breakout pullback: trade when support is broken and retested and failed. Trendline pullback: trade at third pullback (safe). Moving average pullback: Fibonacci pullback:

Pullback trading strategies

Use confluence of indicators to confirm entry.

Trading breakout:

Fibonacci retracement levels:

Golden ratio: Approx 1.6, ratio of consecutive numbers in Fibonacci sequence.

Bollinger bands:

Recommendations

SMA multiplier 10 1.9 20 2 50 2.1

Chaikin money flow indicator

Types of coins and crypto

Store of value crypto

BTC: only good for financial transactions. Is transfer of value.

Limited, finite supply, eg litecoin.

Premined crypto Vs starting from scratch.

In Premined crypto most coins are with founders who will dump whenever the prices go up.

Fair launch:

Smart contracts crypto

Eg Ethereum and Binance A program that executes when certain conditions are met.

The program is immutable and can’t be shut down as it is decentralised.

Dapp: A combination of smart contracts. Dapps can be used for payments, trading, lending borrowing or even gambling. No personal info is required for using a dapp. All you need is an internet connection. There is no middle man in a dapp to take cut or steal data.

Around 5k dapps on 2 dozen smart contract crypto currency blockchains.

The coin is used for payment for smart contract and dapp transactions. Eg eth and BnB. To have enough supply to pay for transaction the supply is not limited and have annual inflation schedule.

Oracle crypto

Provides real world data to smart contract blockchains. For eg date, time, weather and stock info.

Eg chain link, band protocol and api3.

Traditionally we used APIs, oracle use multiple sources for any info from both institution and individual and take averages.

Oracle crypto is used to pay for fetching info.

Oracle crypto tokens are required to fetch the data.

Most oracle cryptos are Premined so their price don’t go up.

Cardano has its own oracle and don’t need other oracle.

Payment crypto

Aim to replace the current payment systems like visa Mastercard and PayPal. They are very fast and much cheaper. Sometimes use Use smart contract for this.

You can keep them in your crypto wallet. You are owner and none can take it or block it.

Eg bitcoin cash, dash, terra, telcoin.

They have highest chances of mainstream adoption. Blockers are that they don’t have a stable price also govt don’t want them.

Privacy crypto

Maintain your privacy while making transactions or using dapps.

Eg secret network: helps in creating privacy preserving dapps.

Tornado: privatise your transaction on Ethereum blockchain.

Eg Montero, zcash, dash.

Haven: used for creating synthetic fiat

Most of private crypto were not Premined. But they are targeted by govt and regulators so have existential threat.

They are being delisted from certain exchanges like bittex but crosschain Dec like thorchain will enable there trade.

Exchange tokens

Owned and operated by exchanges they belong to.

Eg. Bnb, huobi etc

Meme coin

Doge, Shiba inu.